Executive Summary
The three-month window ending in January 2026 reveals highly irregular transaction rhythm. December 2025 dominated volume with $88.4 million in confirmed closings — more than five times the November and January figures combined. This is attributable to a concentration of larger, confirmed deals closing before year-end. January 2026 shows a sharp normalization, with volume falling -84.8% month-over-month to $13.4 million, though deal count of 15 remained healthy relative to November’s 12.
| Metric | Nov 2025 | Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | MoM% Dec | MoM% Jan | 3-Mo Total / Avg |
| Total Transactions | 12 | 18 | 15 | +50.0% | -16.7% | 45 total |
| Confirmed Pricing | 6 | 13 | 6 | +116.7% | -53.8% | 25 total |
| Confirmed Volume ($) | $17.1M | $88.4M | $13.4M | +416.7% | -84.8% | $118.9M |
| Avg Deal Size ($) | $2.85M | $6.80M | $2.24M | +138.5% | -67.1% | $4.76M avg |
| Median Deal Size ($) | $1.19M | $2.25M | $1.10M | +89.1% | -51.1% | $1.50M med |
| Total SF Transacted | 91,301 | 421,268 | 77,617 | +361.4% | -81.6% | 590,186 total |
| Avg Building Size (SF) | 7,608 | 23,404 | 5,174 | +207.6% | -77.9% | 13,115 avg |
| Median Building Size (SF) | 4,290 | 7,008 | 3,155 | +63.4% | -55.0% | 4,960 med |
⚑ December 2025 volume spike is heavily influenced by a concentration of larger confirmed deals closing before fiscal year-end. The underlying run-rate — reflected in November and January — is more representative of typical monthly activity at ~$15M/month in confirmed volume.
Price Per Square Foot Analysis
Mean Price Per SF declined -19.4% from $393/SF in November to $317/SF in January, while median PPSF fell -14.4% from $379/SF to $324/SF. Both measures register a Decelerating trend, defined as a directional change exceeding ±2% over the three-month window. The divergence between mean and median is notable: the mean dropped faster, indicating that the upper-end of the market pulled back more sharply than the middle. The 3-month simple moving average (SMA) stands at $355.93/SF (mean) and $342.90/SF (median), establishing a working benchmark for current market pricing.
| Metric | Nov 2025 | Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 3-Mo Mean | 3-Mo Median | Min | Max | StdDev |
| N (confirmed) | 6 | 13 | 6 | 25 total | ||||
| Mean PPSF | $393/SF | $358/SF | $317/SF | $356/SF | — | $171/SF | $612/SF | $119 |
| Median PPSF | $379/SF | $325/SF | $324/SF | — | $333/SF | |||
| 10th Percentile | $278/SF | $240/SF | $185/SF | $219/SF | ||||
| 90th Percentile | $521/SF | $505/SF | $441/SF | $504/SF | ||||
| 3-Mo SMA | $355.93/SF | $342.90/SF | ||||||
| Trend Direction | Decelerating (-19.4%) | Decelerating (-14.4%) |
Note: PPSF statistics derived from confirmed-price transactions only. Small monthly sample sizes (N=6 in Nov and Jan) reduce statistical reliability; December’s N=13 is the most representative observation.
Submarket Breakdown
The Southwest Las Vegas submarket is the clear market leader by every measure — 11 transactions, $99.5 million in confirmed volume (83.7% of the market total), a median PPSF of $401.82/SF, and a 90.1% average occupancy at sale. Its dominant building class is B, with an average cap rate of 6.28%. This submarket benefits from proximity to the 215 Beltway, newer inventory, and strong healthcare/professional tenant demand. It is the most liquid office submarket in Las Vegas by a substantial margin.
At the other end of the spectrum, Central East Las Vegas recorded only 2 transactions at a median PPSF of $248.56/SF — a 38% discount to the market median — with average occupancy of just 66.7% at sale. South Las Vegas also underperforms on pricing ($259.69/SF median) despite a relatively high average occupancy of 98.6%, suggesting that its Class C-dominant inventory caps pricing potential even at full occupancy. Submarkets with fewer than 3 transactions (Downtown, North Las Vegas, Central North, Central East) should be interpreted with caution.
Table A — Ranked by Total Confirmed Volume
| Submarket | Deals | Conf. Volume | Mean PPSF | Med. PPSF | Avg Cap | Avg % Lsd | Dom. Class |
| Southwest Las Vegas | 11 | $99,506,130 | $410/SF | $402/SF | 6.28% | 90.1% | B |
| West Las Vegas | 5 | $7,837,500 | $293/SF | $325/SF | 6.60% | 83.3% | B |
| South Las Vegas | 7 | $5,095,000 | $362/SF | $260/SF | N/A | 98.6% | C |
| Downtown Las Vegas | 1 | $3,400,000 | $425/SF | $425/SF | 6.98% | 100% | B |
| Northwest Las Vegas | 4 | $1,869,000 | $362/SF | $363/SF | N/A | 100% | C |
| Central East LV | 2 | $950,000 | $249/SF | $249/SF | N/A | 66.7% | C |
| North Las Vegas | 2 | $315,000 | $341/SF | $341/SF | 6.01% | 100% | B |
| Central North LV * | 1 | Unconfirmed | $568/SF | $568/SF | N/A | 100% | C |
Note: * Central North Las Vegas: N=1, insufficient for statistical conclusions. Pricing excluded from volume ranking.
Table B — Ranked by Median Price Per SF
| Submarket | Deals | Med. PPSF | Mean PPSF | Avg Cap | Dom. Class | Designation |
| Central North LV * | 1 | $568/SF | $568/SF | N/A | C | Insufficient Sample |
| Downtown Las Vegas * | 1 | $425/SF | $425/SF | 6.98% | B | Insufficient Sample |
| Southwest Las Vegas | 11 | $402/SF | $410/SF | 6.28% | B | TOP PERFORMER |
| Northwest Las Vegas | 4 | $363/SF | $362/SF | N/A | C | Mid-Tier |
| North Las Vegas * | 2 | $341/SF | $341/SF | 6.01% | B | Insufficient Sample |
| West Las Vegas | 5 | $325/SF | $293/SF | 6.60% | B | Mid-Tier |
| South Las Vegas | 7 | $260/SF | $362/SF | N/A | C | BOTTOM PERFORMER |
| Central East LV * | 2 | $249/SF | $249/SF | N/A | C | Bottom Performer |
⚑ Four submarkets (Downtown, North LV, Central North, Central East) each had fewer than 3 confirmed transactions. Their pricing data is directionally informative but statistically unreliable.
Building Class Analysis
Class B assets dominated the transaction landscape, representing 57.6% of all closings (19 of 33 transactions with a known class). Class A captured only 9.1% of activity (3 deals), while Class C accounted for 33.3% (11 deals). A significant anomaly emerges in the PPSF comparison: Class A recorded a median PPSF of $315.92/SF — an 18% discount to Class B’s $385.38/SF. This counter-intuitive result stems from the very small Class A sample (N=3) which includes lower-occupancy assets averaging 73.5% leased versus Class B’s 93.9%. The Class A assets in this dataset are not premium trophy towers commanding top rents — they are mid-rise suburban professional buildings where occupancy drag suppresses pricing. Class B commands pricing leadership in this market cycle.
Class C assets are priced at a median of $252.79/SF — a 34.4% discount to Class B — consistent with their older average age of 41 years versus 25 years for Class B. Despite comparable occupancy levels (92.3% vs. 93.9%), age and functional obsolescence impose a meaningful pricing penalty. The Class A premium over Class C stands at +25.0% on a median basis, a more intuitive relationship. Cap rates follow the expected hierarchy: Class A at 4.43% (N=1, low confidence), Class B at 6.63%, and Class C at 7.06%.
| Class | Deals | % of Total | Mean PPSF | Med. PPSF | Avg Age | Avg % Lsd | Avg Cap Rate |
| A | 3 | 9.1% | $299/SF | $316/SF | 19 yrs | 73.5% | 4.43% (N=1) |
| B | 19 | 57.6% | $403/SF | $385/SF | 25 yrs | 93.9% | 6.63% |
| C | 11 | 33.3% | $325/SF | $253/SF | 41 yrs | 92.3% | 7.06% |
| Premiums (median PPSF): | A vs. B: -18.0% (anomaly — see note) | A vs. C: +25.0% | B vs. C: +52.5% | ||||
⚑ Class A discount vs. Class B is driven by occupancy mix (73.5% vs. 93.9%) and sample size (N=3). Interpret with caution — not indicative of true Class A market positioning in Las Vegas.
Building Size Segmentation
The Las Vegas office sales market is dominated by small-format transactions: 26 of 45 closed deals (57.8%) involved buildings under 5,000 SF, consistent with a market driven by owner-user buyers and single-tenant medical/professional suites. This segment carries a mean PPSF of $362/SF and a median of $365/SF — competitive with larger formats — reflecting high demand from users willing to pay occupancy premiums.
A meaningful size discount exists at the large end of the market. The 50,000+ SF category (N=2, Class A assets) averaged $261/SF — a 28% discount to the overall market mean and a 28.5% discount to sub-5,000 SF buildings. This likely reflects the thin institutional buyer pool for large Las Vegas office assets and the higher vacancy risk embedded in larger single-tenant structures. The 5,000–19,999 SF segment shows the highest mean PPSF ($406/SF), capturing the sweet spot of investor demand for multi-tenant mid-size office condominiums.
| Size Bucket | Deals | % of Total | Mean PPSF | Median PPSF | Avg Cap Rate |
| Under 5,000 SF | 26 | 57.8% | $362/SF | $365/SF | 7.08% |
| 5,000–19,999 SF | 12 | 26.7% | $406/SF | $355/SF | 6.45% |
| 20,000–49,999 SF | 5 | 11.1% | $345/SF | $373/SF | N/A (no data) |
| 50,000+ SF | 2 | 4.4% | $261/SF | $261/SF | 4.43% |
Note: 20,000–49,999 SF bucket lacks cap rate data. 50,000+ SF cap rate (4.43%) reflects a single Class A transaction — insufficient for generalization.
Capitalization Rate Analysis
Cap rate data is the single greatest data quality challenge in this dataset: only 9 of 45 sold transactions (20.0%) carry an Actual Cap Rate. With such limited coverage, the aggregate statistics should be treated as directional indicators, not definitive benchmarks. No Pro Forma Cap Rate data was present in the export. All nine recorded cap rates fell within the normal range of 4%–8.5%; no outliers require flagging.
The market median cap rate of 6.50% (mean 6.43%) is consistent with a secondary market with moderate rent growth expectations. The range of 4.43%–7.67% reflects the span from institutional-quality Class B multi-tenant assets to single-tenant Class C properties in secondary locations. Interestingly, the occupancy-cap rate relationship holds: fully leased assets (95–100%) averaged 6.61%, while the one sub-80%-leased transaction carried a 4.43% cap rate — suggesting that the distressed asset was acquired at a compressed cap rate likely reflecting a value-add premium, not a yield premium.
| Segment | N | Mean Cap | Median Cap | Min | Max |
| All Transactions | 9 of 45 (20%) | 6.43% | 6.50% | 4.43% | 7.67% |
| Class A | 1 | 4.43% | 4.43% | — | — |
| Class B | 7 | 6.63% | 6.50% | 6.01% | 7.67% |
| Class C | 1 | 7.06% | 7.06% | — | — |
| Occupancy <80% | 1 | 4.43% | 4.43% | — | — |
| Occupancy 80–94% | 0 | N/A | N/A | — | — |
| Occupancy 95–100% | 5 | 6.61% | 6.50% | 6.01% | 7.67% |
| Outliers outside 4%–8.5%: | None — all 9 cap rates within acceptable range | ||||
Sale Conditions & Deal Structure
Sale condition data is extremely sparse in this dataset: 40 of 45 transactions (88.9%) carry no sale condition designation. The five flagged transactions break down as follows: 2 High Vacancy Property sales (4.4%), 1 Investment Triple Net (2.2%), 1 Investment Triple Net combined with Sale Leaseback (2.2%), and 1 deal combining 1031 Exchange with Investment Triple Net (2.2%). No standalone 1031 Exchange or standalone Sale Leaseback transactions were recorded.
Given the minimal sample sizes, drawing strong conclusions about tax-motivated buyer pricing premiums is not statistically supportable. The single investment sale combining 1031 Exchange and Triple Net structures is insufficient to establish a pricing premium pattern. The overall mean PPSF is $367.67/SF, and the two High Vacancy Property transactions represent the clearest deal-type signal: distressed assets where pricing concessions are baked into the basis. Buyers of High Vacancy Properties are acquiring below market PPSF in exchange for lease-up risk.
| Sale Condition | Count | % of Total | Avg PPSF vs. Market | Note |
| Not Specified | 40 | 88.9% | Market baseline | — |
| High Vacancy Property | 2 | 4.4% | Below market | Lease-up play |
| Investment Triple Net | 1 | 2.2% | N/A (<3 deals) | Low sample |
| Investment TNN + Sale Leaseback | 1 | 2.2% | N/A (<3 deals) | Low sample |
| 1031 Exchange + Inv. TNN | 1 | 2.2% | N/A (<3 deals) | Low sample |
⚑ Sale condition fields populated for only 5 of 45 transactions. Pricing comparisons by deal structure are not statistically reliable. CoStar condition coding is inconsistently applied in this market.
Occupancy at Sale
Occupancy data reveals a bifurcated market: the vast majority of transactions (22 of those with recorded occupancy) closed with 95–100% occupancy — indicating that most sellers in this cycle are disposing of stabilized assets rather than distressed ones. Only 2 transactions occurred below 80% occupancy, with no deals recorded in the 80–94% occupancy band.
Fully leased assets (95–100%) averaged $360.02/SF, compared to $344.47/SF for sub-80%-leased properties — an occupancy premium of approximately +4.5%. This modest premium is below what would be expected in a supply-constrained gateway market, and likely reflects the fact that the sub-80% transactions are value-add acquisitions where buyers are pricing in lease-up costs and risk, compressing the implied going-in basis. The cap rate differential reinforces this: stabilized assets traded at 6.61% while the partial-occupancy transaction carried a 4.43% cap — a value-add compression suggesting a buyer who priced the deal on a pro-forma basis.
| Occupancy Bucket | Deals | % of Known | Mean PPSF | Avg Cap Rate | Signal |
| 0–49% Leased | 0 | 0% | N/A | N/A | No data |
| 50–79% Leased | 2 | 8.3% | $344/SF | 4.43% | Value-add |
| 80–94% Leased | 0 | 0% | N/A | N/A | No data |
| 95–100% Leased | 22 | 91.7% | $360/SF | 6.61% | Stabilized |
| Occupancy Premium (95–100% vs. <80%): | +4.5% on mean PPSF | Cap rate gap: 220 bps | |||
Note: Occupancy data populated for only 24 of 45 transactions. The 0% representation of the 0–49% and 80–94% buckets reflects data gaps, not necessarily a true absence of those asset types.
Buyer/Seller Origin & Capital Flow
Origin data is available for 25 buyers and 29 sellers (all others coded ‘Unknown’). Among those with identified origins, local buyers represent 26.7% (12 of 45) of purchasers, while national (out-of-market) buyers account for 13 identified transactions. For sellers, local sellers represent 40.0% (18 of 45), with 11 identified national sellers. The out-of-market buyer count (13 identified) exceeds the out-of-market seller count (11 identified), indicating a net capital inflow into the Las Vegas office market during the three-month window — external capital is absorbing more product than local sellers are recycling out of market.
A striking pricing differential by buyer origin appears in the data: local buyers paid a mean of $460.12/SF versus $308.26/SF for identified national buyers — a 49.3% local buyer premium. This counter-intuitive result (local buyers typically know the market better and should be less likely to overpay) warrants scrutiny. The most likely explanation is sample composition bias: local buyers in this dataset may skew toward smaller owner-user transactions in higher-PPSF locations like Southwest Las Vegas, while national buyers were acquiring larger assets (with inherent size discounts) or repositioning plays in secondary submarkets. With limited origin data (44.4% of buyers coded ‘Unknown’), this differential should not be taken as definitive evidence of pricing behavior.
| Origin Category | Buyers | % Buyers | Sellers | % Sellers |
| Local | 12 | 26.7% | 18 | 40.0% |
| National (Out-of-Market) | 13 | 28.9% | 11 | 24.4% |
| Unknown / Not Recorded | 20 | 44.4% | 16 | 35.6% |
| TOTAL | 45 | 100% | 45 | 100% |
| Buyer Type | Mean PPSF | vs. Market Mean | Interpretation |
| Local Buyers | $460/SF | +25.1% | Owner-user / small format bias |
| National (Out-of-Market) Buyers | $308/SF | -16.2% | Larger / value-add asset mix |
| Net Capital Flow Assessment: | INFLOW — OOM buyers (13) > OOM sellers (11); external capital absorbing LV office product | ||
Disclaimer
This report is prepared for informational and discussion purposes only. The CoStar comp set used here is small (n=26) and is best interpreted as directional. Any underwriting of a specific asset should be supported by a broader, longer-window comp study and direct verification of subject-property attributes. The report does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice.
