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Executive Summary

The three-month window ending in January 2026 reveals highly irregular transaction rhythm. December 2025 dominated volume with $88.4 million in confirmed closings — more than five times the November and January figures combined. This is attributable to a concentration of larger, confirmed deals closing before year-end. January 2026 shows a sharp normalization, with volume falling -84.8% month-over-month to $13.4 million, though deal count of 15 remained healthy relative to November’s 12.

 

Metric Nov 2025 Dec 2025 Jan 2026 MoM% Dec MoM% Jan 3-Mo Total / Avg
Total Transactions 12 18 15 +50.0% -16.7% 45 total
Confirmed Pricing 6 13 6 +116.7% -53.8% 25 total
Confirmed Volume ($) $17.1M $88.4M $13.4M +416.7% -84.8% $118.9M
Avg Deal Size ($) $2.85M $6.80M $2.24M +138.5% -67.1% $4.76M avg
Median Deal Size ($) $1.19M $2.25M $1.10M +89.1% -51.1% $1.50M med
Total SF Transacted 91,301 421,268 77,617 +361.4% -81.6% 590,186 total
Avg Building Size (SF) 7,608 23,404 5,174 +207.6% -77.9% 13,115 avg
Median Building Size (SF) 4,290 7,008 3,155 +63.4% -55.0% 4,960 med

 

⚑ December 2025 volume spike is heavily influenced by a concentration of larger confirmed deals closing before fiscal year-end. The underlying run-rate — reflected in November and January — is more representative of typical monthly activity at ~$15M/month in confirmed volume.

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